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政府应准备应对自动化带来的普遍失业

 


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本文摘要:hundredsofmillionsofworkerswhosejobsarewipedoutbyautomationbetweennowand 2030 willfindgainfulemployment-butonlyifgovernet edembarkonmassiveretrainingandinfrastructurespending .从现在开始到2030年,数亿工人因自动化而失去了工作岗位,他们还有机会找到有报酬的工作。

幸福宝8008app隐藏入口免费破解版

hundredsofmillionsofworkerswhosejobsarewipedoutbyautomationbetweennowand 2030 willfindgainfulemployment-butonlyifgovernet edembarkonmassiveretrainingandinfrastructurespending .从现在开始到2030年,数亿工人因自动化而失去了工作岗位,他们还有机会找到有报酬的工作。thatisaccordingtooneofthemostexhaustivestudiesyetofthelikelyeffectsofartificialintelligenceandrobotics.the report, from the McKinsey Global Institute,echoesagrowingviewamongeconomiststhattherobotfutureisnotentirelybleakforhumans, thoughitmaytakeeffortsonaparwiththepost-secondworldwarshallplanandgibilltoadapt .上述诸说是关于人工智能和机器人可能产生的影响展开的最详细的麦肯锡全球研究所(MGI )的这份报告并不是未来机器人时代的人所期待的,但为了适应环境,像第二次世界大战后的“马歇尔计划”(Marshall Plan )和《退伍军人法》 (GI Bill ) The research arm of McKinsey,the professional services firm, warnedearlierthisyearthatabouthalfthetasksthatworkersperformcouldalreadybeautomatedusingtoday’stechnology.fewjobsarelity ha s,butthatstillpointedtowidespreadredundancy,iftheremainingworkisreorganisedamongfewerworkers .的这个研究机构今年初,工人们专业从事可能几乎没有机器处理的工作,但是如果只在剩下的工作很少的工人中再分配的话,就不会产生广泛的失业。

butinanewstudyissuedyesterdayoutliningthelikelyreal-world impact, MGI suggested that economic growth是thestaggeredrateoftechadoptionandnewtypesofworkcouldmorethanmakeuptheslack .但昨天发布的解释自动化“there’salineofthoughtouttherethatallthejobswillgoneandmaybeinthenexttwodecades,”said Michael Chui, apartneratmgi.thosepredictionslookedtoopessimistic,he added,though“thescaleofthechallengeisreallysignificant”他对这些预测很乐观theupheavalintheworkforcewillbecomparabletotheindustrialrevolution,whenagriculturalworkersfloodedtocities, thereportpreess thoughretraininghundredsofmillionsofworkersinthemiddleoftheircareersrepresentsanevenbiggerchallenge.also, countries most including the us and Japan,willneedtopumpmoneyintoinfrastructureandconstructiontotakeuptheslack .在工业革命时期另外,包括美国和日本在内的不受影响的国家必须在基础设施和建筑领域投入大量资金来应对冲击。theconsultantsestimatethat 15 percentofhoursworkedtodaywillhavebeenautomatedby 2030, wiping out 400 m JOBS.thePaceofjob-destructioncouldbedoublethatifcompaniesputartificialintelligenceandroboticstousemorequicks EXPP withdevelopedcountries-whereworkersearnthemostandtechadoptionisfastest-seeingathirdormoreofjobsgoing . 如果企业应用人工智能和机器人的速度比预想的慢,工作场所出局的速度就会缩小。在工人报酬最低、技术最慢的发达国家,三分之一以上的低收入岗位将消失。


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